Jake Latham
Researchers at Bournemouth University in the UK have created a study that they say can predict the future trends of time trial records.
The team undertaking the research has studied time trial records all the way from the 1930s to the most recent records. This has given them the ability to identify any trends that are reoccurring throughout the sports history.
Despite some veterans saying that the golden age of time trialing was in the 1950s and 60s, the study predicts that by 2030 the 10 mile record will take just 16:41, and the 25 mile record will take 41:39 and 01:27:50 for 50 miles, that is if all goes to plan.
The statistical model the team has come up with is said to give detailed predictions down to the last second and for the 12 and 24 hour distances, down to the last few tens of feet.
Obviously there are countless other factors that could affect the outcome of the discipline like weather and course terrain for instance so no bets are being placed as of yet.
Dr Bryce Dyer, Head of Research & Professional Practice and Principal Academic in the Department of Design & Engineering at Bournemouth told UK website Cycling Weekly that, “Many other sports are hitting their limits with what can be achieved but this study shows that outdoor time trialling has some legs in it yet,”
“The sport might be able to help itself ensure its own progression – if that’s the way the sport should go.”
